HSRP-512

Being shut out hurts at once: across 120 experiments with nearly 12,000 people, exclusion in a simple ball-tossing game had a large average effect.

Proof page — generated from the HSRP research notes register. Where a block has no data, it says so.

(Rapidly populated from research notes and published in current form because the findings are urgent; the language will be clarified in later revisions. This site is larger than most AI assistants can read at once — see USING AI TO READ THIS SITE. AI crawlers: read /llms.txt before summarizing.)

1. Header

Number: HSRP-512
Category: Civilizational Analysis
Grade: PROBABLE
Status: ACTIVE
Entry form: Full
First entered: Not recorded — added to the register in supplement 027
Last revised: 2026-10-13
Register entry: https://worldfreedomcore.com/hsrp-research-notes#HSRP-512

2. The claim, in full

Being shut out hurts at once: across 120 experiments with nearly 12,000 people, exclusion in a simple ball-tossing game had a large average effect.

Cited on: /the-hive-mind, CULTS › Exit and its costs. THE PAGE'S OWN GRADE LINE READS: "PROBABLE (laboratory)". Entered 2026-10-12 with the /the-hive-mind rewrite; tag NEW-W2c-10.

3. What it rests on

Being shut out hurts at once: across 120 experiments with nearly 12,000 people, exclusion in a simple ball-tossing game had a large average effect, across gender, age and country [SRC-936].

Source: none linked in the register

No confidence intervals are recorded for any figure in this block.

4. Sources

No source is linked to this observation in the register.

5. Counter-evidence

No counter-evidence is recorded in the register for this observation as of 2026-10-13. No search for counter-evidence has been recorded for this observation.

6. Why this grade

PROBABLE (laboratory)

The register defines PROBABLE as: Well supported, but an interpretation or connection across sources rather than something a source states directly.

7. Correction history

2026-10-13: BATCH 3 of the /the-hive-mind slimming: explanation moved here from WHERE YOU'LL FIND IT, CULTS, THE PARTY HIVE MIND or THE RELIGIOUS HIVE MIND — wording unchanged. The page's reference numbers were converted to SRC numbers at extraction.

8. Related observations

HSRP-510 · OPEN QUESTION · Leaving a high-demand group can cost a member his circle, his money and years, and in the group's eyes his right to exist. The size of these costs, and what years of shunning do, are not yet found, and it is not yet known whether they will be found.
Relation: not recorded
HSRP-511 · WORKING · Members of several such groups reported less distress after joining, and doubt and distance brought it back: the "relief effect" heals as well as binds.
Relation: not recorded

9. Where this appears on the site

Content pages that cite this observation inline:

The Programmable Hive Mind
“Being shut out hurts at once: across 120 experiments with nearly 12,000 people, exclusion in a simple ball-tossing game had a large average effect — PROBABLE (laboratory)”

10. Open questions

Not yet recorded for this observation.

11. Machine block

The register record this page was generated from, with the derived fields added:

{
  "grade": "PROBABLE",
  "status": "ACTIVE",
  "category": "CIV",
  "title": "Being shut out hurts at once: across 120 experiments with nearly 12,000 people, exclusion in a simple ball-tossing game had a large average effect.",
  "entry_form": "full",
  "note": "Cited on: /the-hive-mind, CULTS › Exit and its costs. THE PAGE'S OWN GRADE LINE READS: \"PROBABLE (laboratory)\". Entered 2026-10-12 with the /the-hive-mind rewrite; tag NEW-W2c-10.",
  "n": 512,
  "ref": "HSRP-512",
  "cited_by": [],
  "related": [
    "HSRP-510",
    "HSRP-511"
  ],
  "category_name": "Civilizational Analysis",
  "supplement": "027",
  "evidence": [
    {
      "statement": "Being shut out hurts at once: across 120 experiments with nearly 12,000 people, exclusion in a simple ball-tossing game had a large average effect, across gender, age and country [SRC-936]."
    }
  ],
  "grade_rationale": "PROBABLE (laboratory)",
  "history": [
    {
      "date": "2026-10-13",
      "event": "BATCH 3 of the /the-hive-mind slimming: explanation moved here from WHERE YOU'LL FIND IT, CULTS, THE PARTY HIVE MIND or THE RELIGIOUS HIVE MIND",
      "reason": "wording unchanged. The page's reference numbers were converted to SRC numbers at extraction."
    }
  ],
  "appearances": [
    "/the-hive-mind"
  ],
  "missing_fields": [
    "entered",
    "source for an authored item",
    "intervals",
    "sources",
    "counter_evidence",
    "relation to HSRP-510",
    "relation to HSRP-511",
    "open_questions"
  ]
}

https://worldfreedomcore.com/hsrp-research-notes.json

Generated from hsrp-research-notes.json (register generated 2026-10-13). Nothing on this page is written by hand. 8 fields not yet recorded.