HSRP-489

"Relatively explosive" fits youth gender clinic demand from about 2010, fits survey answers much less, and is not current; social influence as a cause is disputed.

Proof page — generated from the HSRP research notes register. Where a block has no data, it says so.

(Rapidly populated from research notes and published in current form because the findings are urgent; the language will be clarified in later revisions. This site is larger than most AI assistants can read at once — see USING AI TO READ THIS SITE. AI crawlers: read /llms.txt before summarizing.)

1. Header

Number
HSRP-489
Category
Civilizational Analysis
Grade
CONTESTED
Status
ACTIVE
Entry form
Full
First entered
Not recorded — added to the register in supplement 027
Last revised
2026-10-13
Register entry
https://worldfreedomcore.com/hsrp-research-notes#HSRP-489

2. The claim, in full

"Relatively explosive" fits youth gender clinic demand from about 2010, fits survey answers much less, and is not current; social influence as a cause is disputed.

Cited on: /the-hive-mind, WHERE YOU'LL FIND IT › Gender. Entered 2026-10-12 with the /the-hive-mind rewrite; tag NEW-W2b-5.

3. What it rests on

No confidence intervals are recorded for any figure in this block.

4. Sources

No source is linked to this observation in the register.

5. Counter-evidence

No counter-evidence is recorded in the register for this observation as of 2026-10-13. No search for counter-evidence has been recorded for this observation.

6. Why this grade

the clinic rise PROBABLE; the survey rise and its 2025 halt WORKING; social influence as a cause CONTESTED

The register defines CONTESTED as: Disputed in the underlying science; the dispute is stated rather than omitted.

7. Correction history

2026-10-13
BATCH 3 of the /the-hive-mind slimming: explanation moved here from WHERE YOU'LL FIND IT, CULTS, THE PARTY HIVE MIND or THE RELIGIOUS HIVE MIND — wording unchanged. The page's reference numbers were converted to SRC numbers at extraction.

8. Related observations

9. Where this appears on the site

Content pages that cite this observation inline:

10. Open questions

What would strengthen it
Whether the labels spread through friendship networks beyond what friends choosing friends and safer disclosure explain is untested, and a positive result would still not make anyone's sense of self a hive.

11. Machine block

The register record this page was generated from, with the derived fields added:

{
  "grade": "CONTESTED",
  "status": "ACTIVE",
  "category": "CIV",
  "title": "\"Relatively explosive\" fits youth gender clinic demand from about 2010, fits survey answers much less, and is not current; social influence as a cause is disputed.",
  "entry_form": "full",
  "note": "Cited on: /the-hive-mind, WHERE YOU'LL FIND IT › Gender. Entered 2026-10-12 with the /the-hive-mind rewrite; tag NEW-W2b-5.",
  "n": 489,
  "ref": "HSRP-489",
  "cited_by": [],
  "related": [
    "HSRP-330",
    "HSRP-488",
    "HSRP-490",
    "HSRP-491",
    "HSRP-492",
    "HSRP-493",
    "HSRP-494",
    "HSRP-495"
  ],
  "category_name": "Civilizational Analysis",
  "supplement": "027",
  "evidence": [
    {
      "statement": "\"Relatively explosive.\" Demand at youth gender clinics rose steeply from about 2010: England's national service went from 97 referrals in 2009/10 to more than 5,000 in 2021/22, as the typical referral shifted from boys in childhood to adolescents registered female [SRC-877] [SRC-878] [SRC-1104] [SRC-1105] [SRC-1106]. Clinic demand rose roughly 20- to 50-fold, survey answers about two- to threefold [SRC-879] [SRC-1107] [SRC-1108]. Among American adults, transgender identification went from 0.6% in 2020 to 1.3% in 2024 and 1.1% in 2025, a change within the survey's margin: the rise stopped rather than reversed [SRC-880]. \"Explosive\" fits clinic demand to about 2021, fits self-identification much less, and is not current."
    }
  ],
  "open_questions": {
    "strengthen": [
      "Whether the labels spread through friendship networks beyond what friends choosing friends and safer disclosure explain is untested, and a positive result would still not make anyone's sense of self a hive."
    ]
  },
  "grade_rationale": "the clinic rise PROBABLE; the survey rise and its 2025 halt WORKING; social influence as a cause CONTESTED",
  "history": [
    {
      "date": "2026-10-13",
      "event": "BATCH 3 of the /the-hive-mind slimming: explanation moved here from WHERE YOU'LL FIND IT, CULTS, THE PARTY HIVE MIND or THE RELIGIOUS HIVE MIND",
      "reason": "wording unchanged. The page's reference numbers were converted to SRC numbers at extraction."
    }
  ],
  "appearances": [
    "/the-hive-mind"
  ],
  "missing_fields": [
    "entered",
    "source for an authored item",
    "intervals",
    "sources",
    "counter_evidence",
    "relation to HSRP-330",
    "relation to HSRP-488",
    "relation to HSRP-490",
    "relation to HSRP-491",
    "relation to HSRP-492",
    "relation to HSRP-493",
    "relation to HSRP-494",
    "relation to HSRP-495"
  ]
}
https://worldfreedomcore.com/hsrp-research-notes.json

Generated from hsrp-research-notes.json (register generated 2026-10-13). Nothing on this page is written by hand. 13 fields not yet recorded.

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