HSRP-455
With a center, most members follow a reset and refusers leave; without one, a body splits.
Proof page — generated from the HSRP research notes register. Where a block has no data, it says so.
(Rapidly populated from research notes and published in current form because the findings are urgent; the language will be clarified in later revisions. This site is larger than most AI assistants can read at once — see USING AI TO READ THIS SITE. AI crawlers: read /llms.txt before summarizing.)
1. Header
2. The claim, in full
With a center, most members follow a reset and refusers leave; without one, a body splits.
Cited on: /the-hive-mind, HOW A HIVE MOVES AS ONE BODY › Programmable: one source resets the content. Entered 2026-10-12 with the /the-hive-mind rewrite; tag NEW-W1b-5.
3. What it rests on
-
Religious bodies with a center. In 1978 the First Presidency of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints announced that "all worthy male members of the Church may be ordained to the priesthood without regard for race or color", reversing a long-standing restriction; the conference vote was recorded as "unanimous in the affirmative", though a public vote does not measure private views [SRC-808]. The Watch Tower Society's publications had raised expectations about 1975; afterwards its count of average publishers (members who report preaching) fell about 2.4% between 1976 and 1978, then grew again [SRC-809] [SRC-810] [SRC-811]. The Society of St. Pius X refused parts of the Second Vatican Council; after its founder consecrated bishops without papal mandate in 1988, Pope John Paul II declared that excommunication had been incurred [SRC-812]. Without a center there is no single update: when 22 October 1844 passed, William Miller's Advent movement broke into several bodies [SRC-813].
Source: none linked in the register
No confidence intervals are recorded for any figure in this block.
4. Sources
No source is linked to this observation in the register.
5. Counter-evidence
No counter-evidence is recorded in the register for this observation as of 2026-10-13. No search for counter-evidence has been recorded for this observation.
6. Why this grade
The argument for this grade has not yet been recorded for this observation.
The register defines PROBABLE as: Well supported, but an interpretation or connection across sources rather than something a source states directly.
7. Correction history
8. Related observations
- HSRP-317 · PROBABLE · Programmable PV and Narrative-Synchronized PV. Where identity fusion with an authority source replaces independent belief formation, new beliefs enter the identity layer directly, bypassing cementing — producing maximum-intensity defence of positions adopted days earlier with no connective tissue between successive positions.Relation: not recorded
- HSRP-414 · PROBABLE · THE TWO HIVE MINDS: party loyalty in the United States works as a social identity, and voters largely follow it. Rests on: the publisher's description of Achen and Bartels, Democracy for Realists (2016) (voters choose "on the basis of social identities and partisan loyalties, not political issues"; the book itself not opened); Finkel and fourteen co-authors, Science 370 (2020) (political sectarianism defined at p. 533; "cold feelings toward the out-party now exceed warm feelings toward the in-party", p. 533; a majority-party candidate "could get elected despite openly violating democratic principles", p. 535, reporting Graham and Svolik 2020, not opened); Rathje, Van Bavel and van der Linden, PNAS 2021 (each out-group term raised the odds of a post being shared by 67%, from the abstract, which gives n = 2,730,215; observational; sharing, not votes). Washington's Farewell Address (1796) is quoted as a text, the two fragments being the opening and closing words of one sentence. Against, carried on the page: Druckman, Green and Iyengar (2023) found "scant evidence of a direct link between affective polarization and democratic backsliding in the U.S." That the two party hive minds are steered by design is not yet found, and it is not yet known whether it will be found; what is found is an incentive that rewards hostility. The model of the hive mind is this site's own, set out on /the-hive-mind, whose section 9 is "THE TWO-PARTY ARCHITECTURE", and on /psycho-vulgarism.Relation: not recorded
- HSRP-446 · PROBABLE · A cue from the source a hive trusts moves members more than a persuasive message does, even against their earlier views and in either direction.Relation: not recorded
- HSRP-448 · WORKING · Whoever holds a hive's trusted source can turn it without persuading its members one by one; the defense shields the line from outsiders and leaves it open to the center. That is how the mechanism serves obedience.Relation: not recorded
- HSRP-456 · PROBABLE · Institutions on both sides of the gender question turned on political and legal cues rather than new evidence.Relation: not recorded
- HSRP-524 · CONTESTED · Durkheim held that a gathered group fixes its shared intensity on its emblems as the sacred, so the reason ends in the group.Relation: not recorded
- HSRP-525 · WORKING · Whitehouse's doctrinal mode supplies a center and a channel and his imagistic mode a fence; joined and turned on doubt, they give the cult's form.Relation: not recorded
- HSRP-526 · CONTESTED · Strict demands screen out free riders and bind those who stay, and the stricter religious communes lasted longer; that strictness makes churches grow is disputed.Relation: not recorded
- HSRP-527 · WORKING · Sanctions price dissent, from Spinoza's ban in 1656 to shunning today, and parties and professions use them too: the sanction is a group's act, not a faith's.Relation: not recorded
- HSRP-528 · PROBABLE · A religious center reaches common practice more readily than private conduct: after Humanae Vitae most American Catholics rejected its ban on contraception, and the Soviet state's atheist monopoly closed churches but largely failed to produce atheist conviction.Relation: not recorded
9. Where this appears on the site
Content pages that cite this observation inline:
- The Programmable Hive Mind“With a center, most members follow a reset and refusers leave; without one, a body splits — PROBABLE”
- The Programmable Hive Mind“With a center most members follow a reset and refusers leave (PROBABLE”
10. Open questions
Not yet recorded for this observation.
11. Machine block
The register record this page was generated from, with the derived fields added:
{
"grade": "PROBABLE",
"status": "ACTIVE",
"category": "CIV",
"title": "With a center, most members follow a reset and refusers leave; without one, a body splits.",
"entry_form": "full",
"note": "Cited on: /the-hive-mind, HOW A HIVE MOVES AS ONE BODY › Programmable: one source resets the content. Entered 2026-10-12 with the /the-hive-mind rewrite; tag NEW-W1b-5.",
"n": 455,
"ref": "HSRP-455",
"cited_by": [],
"related": [
"HSRP-317",
"HSRP-414",
"HSRP-446",
"HSRP-448",
"HSRP-456",
"HSRP-524",
"HSRP-525",
"HSRP-526",
"HSRP-527",
"HSRP-528"
],
"category_name": "Civilizational Analysis",
"supplement": "027",
"evidence": [
{
"statement": "Religious bodies with a center. In 1978 the First Presidency of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints announced that \"all worthy male members of the Church may be ordained to the priesthood without regard for race or color\", reversing a long-standing restriction; the conference vote was recorded as \"unanimous in the affirmative\", though a public vote does not measure private views [SRC-808]. The Watch Tower Society's publications had raised expectations about 1975; afterwards its count of average publishers (members who report preaching) fell about 2.4% between 1976 and 1978, then grew again [SRC-809] [SRC-810] [SRC-811]. The Society of St. Pius X refused parts of the Second Vatican Council; after its founder consecrated bishops without papal mandate in 1988, Pope John Paul II declared that excommunication had been incurred [SRC-812]. Without a center there is no single update: when 22 October 1844 passed, William Miller's Advent movement broke into several bodies [SRC-813]."
}
],
"history": [
{
"date": "2026-10-13",
"event": "BATCH 2 of the /the-hive-mind slimming: explanation moved here from HOW A HIVE DEFENDS ITSELF, HOW A HIVE MOVES AS ONE BODY or US AND THEM",
"reason": "wording unchanged. The moved spans still carry the page's own reference numbers in brackets; converting them to SRC numbers is held for a pass of its own."
},
{
"date": "2026-10-13",
"event": "BATCH 3 of the /the-hive-mind slimming: explanation moved here from WHERE YOU'LL FIND IT, CULTS, THE PARTY HIVE MIND or THE RELIGIOUS HIVE MIND",
"reason": "wording unchanged. The page's reference numbers were converted to SRC numbers at extraction."
}
],
"appearances": [
"/the-hive-mind",
"/the-hive-mind"
],
"missing_fields": [
"entered",
"source for an authored item",
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"sources",
"counter_evidence",
"grade_rationale",
"relation to HSRP-317",
"relation to HSRP-414",
"relation to HSRP-446",
"relation to HSRP-448",
"relation to HSRP-456",
"relation to HSRP-524",
"relation to HSRP-525",
"relation to HSRP-526",
"relation to HSRP-527",
"relation to HSRP-528",
"open_questions"
]
}Generated from hsrp-research-notes.json (register generated 2026-10-13). Nothing on this page is written by hand. 17 fields not yet recorded.