HSRP-424
Audiences are not empty receivers. Broadcasts persuade few, mostly the already inclined; what holds is narrower: a trusted source can reset what its audience holds.
Proof page — generated from the HSRP research notes register. Where a block has no data, it says so.
(Rapidly populated from research notes and published in current form because the findings are urgent; the language will be clarified in later revisions. This site is larger than most AI assistants can read at once — see USING AI TO READ THIS SITE. AI crawlers: read /llms.txt before summarizing.)
1. Header
2. The claim, in full
Audiences are not empty receivers. Broadcasts persuade few, mostly the already inclined; what holds is narrower: a trusted source can reset what its audience holds.
Cited on: /the-hive-mind, WHAT A HIVE MIND IS › The popular label. Entered 2026-10-12 with the /the-hive-mind rewrite; tag NEW-W1a-3.
3. What it rests on
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The record does not show empty receivers. Broadcasts persuade from a few percent to about a quarter of those exposed, mostly the already inclined. Distrust of the source blunts or reverses them, and the effect fades when they stop [SRC-755] [SRC-756] [SRC-757] [SRC-758]. What survives is narrower: a trusted source can reset what its audience holds. That is all /the-hive-mind means by programmable HSRP-317.
No confidence intervals are recorded for any figure in this block.
4. Sources
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SRC-755 · PRIORITY · Persuasion: Empirical Evidence — DellaVigna, Stefano, & Gentzkow, Matthew, Annual Review of Economics 2:643-669 (2010)
Pinpoint: not recorded · Access: Access status not recordedEntered 2026-10-12 with BATCH 1 of the /the-hive-mind slimming, from that page's SOURCES entry [4]. https://ideas.repec.org/a/anr/reveco/v2y2010p643-669.html
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SRC-756 · PRIORITY · Radio and the Rise of the Nazis in Prewar Germany — Adena, Maja, Enikolopov, Ruben, Petrova, Maria, Santarosa, Veronica, & Zhuravskaya, Ekaterina, Quarterly Journal of Economics 130(4):1885-1939 (2015)
Pinpoint: not recorded · Access: Access status not recordedEntered 2026-10-12 with BATCH 1 of the /the-hive-mind slimming, from that page's SOURCES entry [5]. doi:10.1093/qje/qjv030. https://econpapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:pseptp:halshs-01245557
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SRC-757 · PRIORITY · Electoral Effects of Biased Media: Russian Television in Ukraine — Peisakhin, Leonid, & Rozenas, Arturas, American Journal of Political Science 62(3):535-550 (2018)
Pinpoint: not recorded · Access: Access status not recordedEntered 2026-10-12 with BATCH 1 of the /the-hive-mind slimming, from that page's SOURCES entry [6]. doi:10.1111/ajps.12355. https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/amposc/v62y2018i3p535-550.html
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SRC-758 · PRIORITY · Consuming cross-cutting media causes learning and moderates attitudes: A field experiment with Fox News viewers — Broockman, David E., & Kalla, Joshua L., The Journal of Politics 87(1):246-261 (2025)
Pinpoint: not recorded · Access: Access status not recordedEntered 2026-10-12 with BATCH 1 of the /the-hive-mind slimming, from that page's SOURCES entry [7]. doi:10.1086/730725. The 2022 working-paper version was reported by Yale News, 13 April 2022.
5. Counter-evidence
No counter-evidence is recorded in the register for this observation as of 2026-10-12. No search for counter-evidence has been recorded for this observation.
6. Why this grade
The argument for this grade has not yet been recorded for this observation.
The register defines PROBABLE as: Well supported, but an interpretation or connection across sources rather than something a source states directly.
7. Correction history
8. Related observations
- HSRP-317 · PROBABLE · Programmable PV and Narrative-Synchronized PV. Where identity fusion with an authority source replaces independent belief formation, new beliefs enter the identity layer directly, bypassing cementing — producing maximum-intensity defence of positions adopted days earlier with no connective tissue between successive positions.Relation: not recorded
- HSRP-422 · PROBABLE · Members take positions from their party's cues, and deny being swayed: the reason ends in the group (marker M1).Relation: not recorded
- HSRP-423 · WORKING · The online label "NPC" names persons, not a way of holding a view. It is mechanistic dehumanization, likening people to machines, and the move marker M4 describes: outsiders discredited in advance.Relation: not recorded
9. Where this appears on the site
Content pages that cite this observation inline:
- The Programmable Hive Mind“No uniform receivers; programmability within trust — PROBABLE”
Pages citing a source this observation rests on: /the-hive-mind.
10. Open questions
Not yet recorded for this observation.
11. Machine block
The register record this page was generated from, with the derived fields added:
{
"grade": "PROBABLE",
"status": "ACTIVE",
"category": "CIV",
"title": "Audiences are not empty receivers. Broadcasts persuade few, mostly the already inclined; what holds is narrower: a trusted source can reset what its audience holds.",
"entry_form": "full",
"note": "Cited on: /the-hive-mind, WHAT A HIVE MIND IS › The popular label. Entered 2026-10-12 with the /the-hive-mind rewrite; tag NEW-W1a-3.",
"n": 424,
"ref": "HSRP-424",
"cited_by": [
"SRC-755",
"SRC-756",
"SRC-757",
"SRC-758"
],
"related": [
"HSRP-317",
"HSRP-422",
"HSRP-423"
],
"category_name": "Civilizational Analysis",
"supplement": "027",
"evidence": [
{
"statement": "The record does not show empty receivers. Broadcasts persuade from a few percent to about a quarter of those exposed, mostly the already inclined. Distrust of the source blunts or reverses them, and the effect fades when they stop [SRC-755] [SRC-756] [SRC-757] [SRC-758]. What survives is narrower: a trusted source can reset what its audience holds. That is all /the-hive-mind means by programmable HSRP-317.",
"sources": [
"SRC-755",
"SRC-756",
"SRC-757",
"SRC-758"
]
}
],
"entered": "2026-10-12",
"history": [
{
"date": "2026-10-12",
"event": "Explanation moved here from /the-hive-mind (WHAT A HIVE MIND IS › The popular label)",
"reason": "wording unchanged except as listed: \"Nor does the record show empty receivers.\" → \"The record does not show empty receivers.\" (opening connective: \"Nor\" answered the preceding paragraph on the main page); \"That is all this page means by programmable\" → \"That is all /the-hive-mind means by programmable\" (page-relative: \"this page\" named /the-hive-mind)."
}
],
"appearances": [
"/the-hive-mind"
],
"missing_fields": [
"intervals",
"pinpoint for SRC-755",
"pinpoint for SRC-756",
"pinpoint for SRC-757",
"pinpoint for SRC-758",
"counter_evidence",
"grade_rationale",
"relation to HSRP-317",
"relation to HSRP-422",
"relation to HSRP-423",
"open_questions"
]
}Generated from hsrp-research-notes.json (register generated 2026-10-12). Nothing on this page is written by hand. 11 fields not yet recorded.